site.btaUPDATED Exit Polls: GERB-UDF Lead in National, EP Elections, Second Place Highly Contested, Turnout Low
Exit polls conducted by Market Links, Alpha Research, Gallup International and Trend show GERB-UDF leading after Bulgaria's elections for National Assembly and European Parliament on June 9. The second position is challenged by Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (CC-DB) and the Movement for Rights and Freedoms (MRF).
To be allocated seats in the national legislature, contestants must poll at least 4% of the valid votes. The electoral threshold for entry in the European Parliament is 5.8% (100% divided by the 17 seats assigned to Bulgarian MEPs).
Following are the results for the National Assembly elections (according to the exit polls):
Market Links: (final exit polls)
GERB-UDF 28.4 %
MRF 15.6%
CC-DB 15.4%
Vazrazhdane 13.0 %
BSP for Bulgaria 8.0%
TISP 6.7%
Alpha Research
GERB-UDF 26.2%
CC-DB 15.7%
Vazrazhdane 14.5%
MRF 14.3%
BSP for Bulgaria 9.1%
TISP 5.8%
Gallup International
GERB-UDF 26.7%
CC-DB 15.5%
MRF 15.1%
Vazrazhdane 14.7%
BSP 9.8%
TISP 6.4%
Trend
GERB-UDF 25.9%
CC-DB 15.7%
MRF 14.7%
Vazrazhdane 14.2%
BSP 8.9%
TISP 6.5%
For European Parliament:
Market Links:
GERB-UDF 28.1%
MRF 15.3%
CC-DB 15.9%
Vazrazhdane 12.6%
BSP for Bulgaria 8.1%
TISP 6.5%
Alpha Research
GERB-UDF 25.8%
CC-DB 15.9%
Vazrazhdane 14.8%
MRF 14.1%
BSP for Bulgaria 8.8%
TISP 5.7% (below the threshold for allocation of seats)
Trend
GERB-UDF 25%
CC-DB 15.9%
Vazrazhdane 15.2%
MRF 14.3%
BSP 8.9%
TISP 6.4%
Gallup International
GERB-UDF 26.2%
CC-DB 15.7%
Vazrazhdane 15.4%
MRF 11.7%
BSP 9.7%
TISP 6.4%
The turnout in the national elections and the EP elections around 4:30 – 5:00 p.m. was 22.6% and 22.2%, respectively, according to Market Links, and 23.7% and 23.9% according to Alpha Research.
The official figures will likely show a record-low voter turnout.
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