site.btaGovernment May Prove More Stable than Expected - Institute of Right Wing Policy

Government May Prove More Stable than Expected - Institute of Right Wing Policy


Sofia, November 30 (BTA) - Neno Dimov, the new Chairman of the
Institute of Right Wing Policy, told a BTA-hosted news
conference on Sunday that the government may prove to be more
stable than suggested by the fragmented support for it.

Dimov presented the Institute's monthly analysis of the
political situation.

To support his statement about the cabinet's stability, Dimov
said that with three independent MPs, it may be backed by 121
MPs in the 240-seat Parliament even without support from the
Patriotic Front.

Relations between GERB and the Reformist Bloc (RB) will be one
of the key factors in the normal functioning of the new cabinet.
The RB is the only one of GERB's smaller partners which could
effectively rock the government. In this sense it is good that
there is a Deputy Prime Minister (Roumyana Buchvarova)
responsible for coalition relations, said Dimov.

The Reformist Bloc is faced with two options: to be a factor of
stability or to cause instability in government. If the Bloc
chooses the second option and keeps up the internal
confrontation, it can jeopardize its political future. According
to Dimov, the Bloc still has some way to go to a common
leadership and an adequate organizational structure.

GERB's public image has changed since the October 5
parliamentary elections, largely due to a change in leader Boyko
Borissov's conduct, said the Institute's Alexander Vladimirov.
In a matter of weeks, Borissov evolved from a politician who
polarized society into a unifier, and GERB has been showing a
readiness for dialogue and compromise. The Institute holds that
in the short term, the adoption of the 2015 National Budget Act
will be the biggest challenge to the Prime Minister.

The Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP), the largest left-wing
entity, is going through a severe identity crisis, political
analyst Deyan Hristakiev said. There are two options for the
BSP: it can sweep its problems under the carpet and wait for the
right wing to fail, or it can engage in intraparty dialogue and
choose between a more conservative and a social liberal,
centrist stand. In Hristakiev's view, the party has already lost
its ability to unite the entire left end of the political
spectrum and must choose a narrower niche to match its shrinking
electorate.